Legislature(2023 - 2024)ADAMS 519

02/09/2023 01:30 PM House FINANCE

Note: the audio and video recordings are distinct records and are obtained from different sources. As such there may be key differences between the two. The audio recordings are captured by our records offices as the official record of the meeting and will have more accurate timestamps. Use the icons to switch between them.

Download Mp3. <- Right click and save file as

Audio Topic
01:35:09 PM Start
01:35:15 PM Presentation: Order of Operations - Alaska's Oil Tax Regime
02:48:33 PM Adjourn
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
+ Presentation: Order of Operations - Alaska's TELECONFERENCED
Oil Tax Regime by Dan Stickel, Chief Economist
and Colleen Glover, Tax Director, Dept. of
Revenue
+ Bills Previously Heard/Scheduled TELECONFERENCED
                  HOUSE FINANCE COMMITTEE                                                                                       
                     February 9, 2023                                                                                           
                         1:35 p.m.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
1:35:09 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CALL TO ORDER                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Johnson called the House Finance Committee meeting                                                                     
to order at 1:35 p.m.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS PRESENT                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Representative Bryce Edgmon, Co-Chair                                                                                           
Representative Neal Foster, Co-Chair                                                                                            
Representative DeLena Johnson, Co-Chair                                                                                         
Representative Julie Coulombe                                                                                                   
Representative Mike Cronk                                                                                                       
Representative Alyse Galvin                                                                                                     
Representative Sara Hannan                                                                                                      
Representative Andy Josephson                                                                                                   
Representative Dan Ortiz                                                                                                        
Representative Will Stapp                                                                                                       
Representative Frank Tomaszewski                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS ABSENT                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
None                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
ALSO PRESENT                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Dan Stickel, Chief Economist, Economic Research Group, Tax                                                                      
Division, Department of Revenue.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
SUMMARY                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
PRESENTATION: ORDER OF OPERATIONS - ALASKA'S OIL TAX REGIME                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
1:35:15 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Johnson reviewed the meeting agenda.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
^PRESENTATION: ORDER OF OPERATIONS - ALASKA'S OIL TAX                                                                         
REGIME                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
1:36:22 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
DAN STICKEL,  CHIEF ECONOMIST, ECONOMIC RESEARCH  GROUP, TAX                                                                    
DIVISION, DEPARTMENT  OF REVENUE, introduced  the PowerPoint                                                                    
presentation  titled,  "Order   of  Operations  Presentation                                                                    
House  Finance  Committee,"  dated   February  9,  2023.  He                                                                    
briefly addressed slide 2 which  included a list of acronyms                                                                    
associated with the oil industry.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  continued on  slide  3  and went  through  the                                                                    
agenda of  the presentation.  He would  start by  looking at                                                                    
the  sources of  revenue from  the state.  The focus  of the                                                                    
presentation overall would be on North Slope oil.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel moved  to slide 4 and offered  a disclaimer that                                                                    
the presentation  would be taking  a complex tax  system and                                                                    
simplifying  it   for  the   purpose  of   palatability.  He                                                                    
emphasized that anything  he said was not tax  advice nor an                                                                    
official tax  interpretation. He advanced to  slide 5, which                                                                    
touched on the  four sources of oil and gas  revenue for the                                                                    
state.  The state  received  a royalty  based  on the  gross                                                                    
value  of production  on state  land. The  rates varied  but                                                                    
were  typically  around 12.5  percent  of  16.67 percent  in                                                                    
Alaska. The  state had a  corporate income tax  that applied                                                                    
to  most, if  not  all,  oil and  gas  companies. The  state                                                                    
received a  property tax based on  the value of oil  and gas                                                                    
property.  The tax  as 2  percent of  assessed value  or "20                                                                    
mills." Any property tax paid  to municipalities was allowed                                                                    
as a credit  to offset the state tax paid.  The final source                                                                    
was  the production  tax, which  would be  the focus  of the                                                                    
majority of the presentation.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
1:40:26 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Johnson  asked if  2 percent  property tax  was the                                                                    
rule across the state.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  responded that the  property tax was  levied at                                                                    
the 2  percent rate and  any municipal  tax up to  2 percent                                                                    
was allowed as a credit against  the state tax. The owner of                                                                    
the property would  pay the 2 percent tax  regardless of the                                                                    
municipal tax rate.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Johnson asked if in  the state received the full 20                                                                    
mills in unorganized areas of the state.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel responded  the state received the  full 20 mills                                                                    
tax when there was no  borough. The state received a smaller                                                                    
portion in areas where there was a borough.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Hannan  understood  there  were  three  main                                                                    
municipalities  that received  the property  tax: Fairbanks,                                                                    
Valdez,  and the  North Slope.  She  asked if  any area  was                                                                    
receiving the full 20 mills.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel responded  that the city of  Valdez was leveling                                                                    
at the  full 20 mills  and the  state was not  receiving any                                                                    
state property tax for the City  of Valdez. All of the other                                                                    
municipalities were levying  less than the full  20 mills as                                                                    
of FY 22.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Josephson asked  whether occupying  the full                                                                    
tax  availability  was entirely  at  the  discretion of  the                                                                    
municipality.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel responded that it  was up to the municipality to                                                                    
set the  rate, but the  municipality was limited in  that it                                                                    
could not  tax oil and  gas property  at a higher  rate than                                                                    
other properties were taxed.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  continued on slide  6, which showed  five years                                                                    
of revenue  data from various  oil and gas  revenue sources.                                                                    
The slide included  a chart showing two  years of historical                                                                    
data, the status  of the current fiscal year,  and two years                                                                    
of future  projections. The  property tax  on the  chart was                                                                    
the  state share  only.  The  municipalities received  about                                                                    
$450  million above  the state  share in  FY 22.  There were                                                                    
some temporary impacts in FY  21 related to refunds paid out                                                                    
due to  losses in 2020  due to the pandemic.  Production tax                                                                    
was  comprised entirely  of  general  fund revenue.  Another                                                                    
revenue source was royalties, though  a significant share of                                                                    
royalties  were  dedicated to  the  Permanent  Fund and  the                                                                    
school  fund.  A smaller  source  was  any settlement  as  a                                                                    
result an assessment or dispute,  which was deposited in the                                                                    
Constitutional   Budget  Reserve   (CBR).  The   state  also                                                                    
received  a  small  share  of   revenue  from  the  National                                                                    
Petroleum  Reserve  -   Alaska  (NPR-A).  Additionally,  the                                                                    
Willow  project  would  significantly increase  the  revenue                                                                    
source.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
1:45:51 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative Hannan asked if the  NPR-A was set in federal                                                                    
statute or if there were opportunities for negotiation.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  responded  that  he believed  it  was  set  by                                                                    
federal  statute.  The  NPR-A  was a  50  percent  share  of                                                                    
revenue  back   to  the  state   and  there   were  specific                                                                    
provisions around  how the resulting revenue  could be used.                                                                    
The state  was required to  use the revenue for  the benefit                                                                    
of communities impacted by the oil developments.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Hannan  asked  if  the entirety  of  the  50                                                                    
percent  share  was  required  to   be  distributed  to  the                                                                    
impacted communities.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel responded in the affirmative.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Representative Hannan asked  if any of the  revenue would be                                                                    
distributed to the state general fund.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel responded, "Correct."                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Representative Stapp  understood that Mr. Stickel  was using                                                                    
the fall revenue forecast for  the projections. He asked how                                                                    
much of a discrepancy there was  between the FY 22 oil price                                                                    
projections and the current price of oil.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  responded that the Department  of Revenue (DOR)                                                                    
compiled  a  monthly  cash  flow  update  and  it  would  be                                                                    
finalized in  the following week.  The projections  for 2023                                                                    
and 2024 were accurate based  on the January 2023 update and                                                                    
did  not meet  the 10  percent threshold  requiring that  an                                                                    
official  notification  be  released.  The  oil  prices  and                                                                    
revenues were tracking close to the revenue forecast.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Representative Galvin  asked for more details  on the Willow                                                                    
projections. She  understood that  the oil  companies Santos                                                                    
Limited  and  Conoco  Phillips might  differ  in  regard  to                                                                    
production  and  the  ways  in   which  the  state  provided                                                                    
credits.  She  asked  how the  potential  differences  might                                                                    
impact the revenue returning to Alaska.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  responded that  Santos was  the manager  of the                                                                    
Pikka Unit  project on  the North Slope  and Conoco  was the                                                                    
manager  of  the  Willow project.  Both  projects  would  be                                                                    
subject  to  property  tax, production  tax,  and  corporate                                                                    
income tax.  The two  differed in  the ways  royalties would                                                                    
apply  and he  had a  slide later  in the  presentation that                                                                    
went into detail on the topic.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
1:49:20 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative Josephson  understood that the  severance tax                                                                    
structure  for  the Willow  project  and  Pikka project  was                                                                    
identical,  but  the  royalty  revenue  was  not  identical.                                                                    
Willow  had great  economic  value, but  it  was located  on                                                                    
federal land;  therefore, the Pikka project  would have more                                                                    
value to the state.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel   responded  that   the  state   would  receive                                                                    
relatively  more  revenue from  Willow  than  it would  from                                                                    
Pikka.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Josephson commented  that  royalties in  the                                                                    
2014 and 2015 time frame  were significant and a larger part                                                                    
of the  revenue picture.  He understood that  royalties were                                                                    
now occupying the most traditional  second share position in                                                                    
terms  of  its value  to  the  state.  He  asked if  he  was                                                                    
correct.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  responded that whether royalties  or production                                                                    
tax  brought in  more revenue  to  the state  was largely  a                                                                    
function of  the price of  oil. Production tax was  based on                                                                    
net tax and was progressive  to price whereas royalties were                                                                    
based in gross value.  Relatively lower oil prices generally                                                                    
meant that  royalties would  exceed production  taxes. There                                                                    
were several years in the  2010s during which production tax                                                                    
generated  more revenue  than royalties,  but royalties  had                                                                    
generated  more  revenue than  production  tax  in the  last                                                                    
several years.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  advanced to slide  7, which showed  the overall                                                                    
order  of  operations for  the  state's  fiscal system.  The                                                                    
order was  as follows:  royalties, property  tax, production                                                                    
tax,  state  corporate  income tax,  and  federal  corporate                                                                    
income tax. He  would go into detail on  each step. Firstly,                                                                    
he  explained that  landowners received  their share  of oil                                                                    
before  any  other  entity. The  second  step  was  property                                                                    
taxes,  which were  considered  lease  expenditures for  the                                                                    
purpose  of calculating  the production  tax  and were  also                                                                    
deductible against  corporate income  taxes. The  third step                                                                    
was  production tax,  which was  calculated after  royalties                                                                    
had been  deducted and property  taxes had  been considered.                                                                    
The production tax would then  become an allowable deduction                                                                    
in  calculating corporate  income  tax.  Finally, the  state                                                                    
corporate income  tax acted as a  deduction when calculating                                                                    
the federal corporate income tax.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Galvin  understood that  investment  dollars                                                                    
for  Conoco could  receive a  different  tax treatment  than                                                                    
investment  dollars for  Santos.  She asked  if Mr.  Stickel                                                                    
could provide more detail.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  responded that he  could not speak  to specific                                                                    
companies. However,  it was true that  an incumbent producer                                                                    
that had existing production and  revenue on the North Slope                                                                    
could offset  revenues with  investments in  new production.                                                                    
Investments  by  a  company   that  did  not  have  existing                                                                    
production were treated differently.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
1:54:19 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative Cronk asked about the  revenues for FY 21 and                                                                    
FY 22 on  slide 6. He asked for confirmation  that the state                                                                    
received $1.6 billion in FY 21.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel responded in the affirmative.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Representative   Cronk  understood   that   the  state   was                                                                    
collecting  about 20  percent of  the value  of a  barrel of                                                                    
oil. He asked if he had made a correct assessment.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel responded that DOR  had provided the Senate with                                                                    
some information  about how the  cash flowed from  a typical                                                                    
barrel to  the producers. He  would be happy to  provide the                                                                    
committee  with  the  same  information.  He  noted  that  a                                                                    
significant share  of the  value of  a barrel  was dependent                                                                    
upon  transportation costs  of  getting the  oil to  market,                                                                    
which  averaged around  $10 per  barrel. When  assessing the                                                                    
distribution of the  value of a barrel, it  was important to                                                                    
look at  the distribution  of the  production tax  value and                                                                    
how  the   profit  would  be  shared   between  the  various                                                                    
entities.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Johnson  thought that  it would  be helpful  to get                                                                    
the  information  about  cash flow.  She  suggested  holding                                                                    
questions until later on in the meeting.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
1:57:10 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  moved   to  slide  8,  which   was  the  basic                                                                    
calculation of  the production tax  on the North  Slope. The                                                                    
calculation was  based on the income  statement presented in                                                                    
Appendix E of  the Revenue Sources Book released  by DOR. He                                                                    
noted there  was an error  in the original book  because the                                                                    
leap year  in FY 24 was  overlooked. The FY 24  forecast was                                                                    
for $81 per barrel and  503,700 barrels in production, which                                                                    
gave a  total value of  about $41  million per day  of North                                                                    
Slope oil production.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel advanced  to slide 9, which  was royalty barrels                                                                    
and taxable barrels. Royalty  barrels were subtracted before                                                                    
accounting for taxes, which included  any state, federal, or                                                                    
private royalty barrels.  There was also a  small portion of                                                                    
production  that was  outside of  state jurisdiction.  After                                                                    
subtracting the royalties, the total  was around 160 million                                                                    
barrels of production in FY  24 that were considered taxable                                                                    
with a $13 billion taxable value.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  moved  to  slide  10. The  next  step  in  the                                                                    
calculation  was  subtracting  the transportation  costs  to                                                                    
arrive at  the gross value  at the point of  production. The                                                                    
transportation costs  included the price of  getting the oil                                                                    
to  market. The  price for  North  Slope oil  was priced  at                                                                    
market in Long Beach,  California. The marine transportation                                                                    
costs  were then  subtracted, such  as  the Alaska  Pipeline                                                                    
tariff and  any other  tariffs, and other  minor adjustments                                                                    
were  made.  For  FY 24,  the  average  transportation  cost                                                                    
estimate was  $9.37 per barrel.  The average gross  value at                                                                    
the point of  production was $71.63 per barrel  with a total                                                                    
gross value of about $11.5 billion.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  continued to slide  11 and  lease expenditures.                                                                    
The production tax  was essentially a modified  version of a                                                                    
net profits  tax. Deductions of  both capital  and operating                                                                    
expenditures   were  taken   in  order   to  calculate   the                                                                    
production  tax. The  department  used  guidelines from  the                                                                    
Internal  Revenue  Service  (IRS)   to  determine  what  was                                                                    
considered a capital expenditure.  There was no depreciation                                                                    
provision in the  production tax which meant  that a company                                                                    
was permitted  to deduct its  entire capital  expenditure in                                                                    
the  year  incurred. There  were  two  terms to  understand:                                                                    
allowable   lease   expenditures    and   deductible   lease                                                                    
expenditures.  Allowable lease  expenditures were  any costs                                                                    
in the unit directly associated  with producing oil and gas.                                                                    
Deductible lease  expenditures were developed within  DOR to                                                                    
represent  the share  of allowable  lease expenditures  that                                                                    
could  be applied  against the  value of  production in  the                                                                    
year  incurred.  He  added   that  lease  expenditures  were                                                                    
treated  differently depending  on  the  company. Any  lease                                                                    
expenditures  that were  not deducted  in the  year incurred                                                                    
became carried  forward lease  expenditures, which  could be                                                                    
used  as deductible  lease expenditures  in a  future year's                                                                    
tax calculation.  There was a  provision in the tax  code in                                                                    
which  the lease  expenditures lost  value  after a  certain                                                                    
amount  of  time.  If  a company  had  not  achieved  enough                                                                    
production to  use the lease expenditures,  they would begin                                                                    
to decrease in value.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
2:04:06 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  moved to  slide 12  showing the  calculation of                                                                    
production tax value. The calculation  was gross value minus                                                                    
lease  expenditures. For  FY 24,  the  total production  tax                                                                    
value was estimated  at about $7.1 billion.  The value would                                                                    
be different for every company.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  advanced to  slide  13  and detailed  the  tax                                                                    
calculations  once   the  production  tax  value   had  been                                                                    
determined.  There were  two  tax  calculations involved:  a                                                                    
gross  minimum   tax  floor  calculation   and  a   net  tax                                                                    
calculation.  The  minimum  tax   floor  calculation  was  4                                                                    
percent of the  gross value at the point  of production. For                                                                    
FY 24, the minimum tax floor would be about $460 million.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Stapp  asked if  the  minimum  tax could  be                                                                    
offset    using    operating   expenditures    or    capital                                                                    
expenditures.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  responded  that   the  operating  and  capital                                                                    
expenditures were  part of the  calculation for the  net tax                                                                    
only. The  minimum tax  floor was based  on the  gross value                                                                    
and  there  was  no  allowance  for  operating  and  capital                                                                    
expenditures.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Josephson commented  that prior  to HB  247,                                                                    
there were ways  for a company's tax rate to  be less than 4                                                                    
percent  of  gross. He  understood  that  it was  no  longer                                                                    
allowable.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  responded in  the  affirmative.  In the  past,                                                                    
companies had been  able to use tax credits  to reduce their                                                                    
tax liability below the minimum  tax floor. Currently, there                                                                    
was  one credit  that could  be used  to take  the liability                                                                    
below the  minimum tax  floor. He would  discuss it  in more                                                                    
detail later on in the presentation.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
2:07:59 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  continued on slide  14 which looked at  the net                                                                    
tax and gross  value reduction (GVR). He  explained that GVR                                                                    
was  an  incentive  for  new   development  and  provided  a                                                                    
temporary incentive  by excluding  20 or  30 percent  of the                                                                    
gross of  qualifying new production. The  30 percent applied                                                                    
if there was  a unit with qualifying new  production and the                                                                    
unit was  an entirely state  issued lease with  greater than                                                                    
12.5 percent  royalty. Any  other qualifying  new production                                                                    
would get the  20 percent benefit. The GVR was  taken out of                                                                    
the  production  tax value  before  applying  the tax  rate.                                                                    
Additionally,  any of  the oil  that qualified  for the  GVR                                                                    
provision  received  a flat  $5  per  taxable barrel  credit                                                                    
rather than  the sliding  scale credit  that applied  to all                                                                    
other  production.  The  GVR was  a  temporary  benefit  and                                                                    
expired after seven years or  after any three years in which                                                                    
oil  prices had  exceeded  $70  per barrel.  In  FY 24,  the                                                                    
production tax value  was about $6.9 billion  after the GVR.                                                                    
The statutory  tax rate was  35 percent of the  value, which                                                                    
resulted in a  production tax of slightly  over $2.4 billion                                                                    
before credits.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  moved  to  slide 15  which  compared  the  net                                                                    
profits tax  and the  minimum tax floor.  The higher  of the                                                                    
two  calculations would  become the  starting point  for the                                                                    
tax before credits.  In FY 24, the $2.4 billion  net tax was                                                                    
expected  to  prevail  over the  $460  million  minimum  tax                                                                    
floor. The major  tax credits in place were  the per taxable                                                                    
barrel  credits.  One of  the  credits  applied to  the  GVR                                                                    
eligible  oil  and was  a  flat  $5  dollar per  barrel  tax                                                                    
credit, and the  other credit applied to all  other oil. The                                                                    
second  credit  was a  sliding  scale  ranging from  $8  per                                                                    
barrel  when  the  wellhead  value was  less  than  $80  per                                                                    
barrel. The  gross value at  the point of production  for FY                                                                    
24 was  expected to be  $71.63, which  meant than an  $8 per                                                                    
taxable  barrel credit  would apply.  He explained  that the                                                                    
credit phased  out in $10  increments of wellhead  value. If                                                                    
the  wellhead value  exceeded $150  per barrel,  the sliding                                                                    
scale credit  would phase down  to zero.  If any of  the per                                                                    
taxable barrel credits  were not used in  the year incurred,                                                                    
the credit would be forfeited  as there was no provision for                                                                    
state purchase or carry-forward  of the credits. The sliding                                                                    
scale  per  taxable  barrel  credit  could  not  reduce  tax                                                                    
liability below the  minimum tax floor. He  noted there were                                                                    
a  small  number of  other  tax  credits against  liability,                                                                    
primarily  including the  small producer  credit. The  small                                                                    
producer credit was being phased  out, but a couple of small                                                                    
companies were still able to  claim the credit. If a company                                                                    
did  not use  any of  the  sliding scale  credits, it  could                                                                    
potentially use the  $5 per barrel credit to  reduce its tax                                                                    
below  the minimum  tax floor.  After deducting  all of  the                                                                    
credits, the total tax was about $1.2 billion for FY 24.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
2:13:02 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative Josephson  commented that  around FY  12, the                                                                    
$1.2 billion  number was around  $6 billion.  He highlighted                                                                    
the  difference because  constituents wanted  legislators to                                                                    
spend within  the means of  the state and the  state's means                                                                    
were much less than they were in FY 12.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  responded that it  was correct  that production                                                                    
tax had  been very  volatile. In FY  13, the  production tax                                                                    
was around  $4 billion, then in  FY 17 it was  $126 million.                                                                    
The  production tax  varied significantly  depending on  oil                                                                    
prices.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Stapp  understood  that  the  transportation                                                                    
costs were  factored in prior  to factoring in  the wellhead                                                                    
value. He  asked if it would  be $90 per barrel  and not $80                                                                    
per barrel  because the transportation costs  were taken out                                                                    
before the wellhead value was calculated.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  responded that  when there was  a quote  of $80                                                                    
per  barrel, it  was  typically the  destination value.  The                                                                    
transportation  cost   would  need   to  be   subtracted  to                                                                    
approximate the wellhead value in  Alaska. The sliding scale                                                                    
calculation in statute  specifically referenced the wellhead                                                                    
value, not the destination value.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel moved  to slide 16. There were  some other items                                                                    
that would be added to  the tax calculation to determine the                                                                    
total tax revenue that was received  by the state in a given                                                                    
fiscal  year. The  items included  things  like payments  of                                                                    
prior  year taxes,  refunds of  prior year  taxes, taxes  on                                                                    
private landowner royalties, taxes  on gas production on the                                                                    
North Slope,  surcharges, and  any adjustments  for company-                                                                    
specific differences.  In FY 24,  it was estimated  that the                                                                    
adjustments  would add  up  to about  $16.9  million with  a                                                                    
total tax  paid to the  state of  a little over  $2 billion.                                                                    
All but $8 million of  the total was considered unrestricted                                                                    
general fund  revenue. After the  calculation of  the taxes,                                                                    
the  department  had estimated  that  there  was about  $880                                                                    
million of lease expenditures in  FY 24 that would be earned                                                                    
by  companies making  investments  in the  North Slope  that                                                                    
could not be applied to production  taxes in FY 24. The $882                                                                    
million  would  carry forward  and  be  available to  offset                                                                    
future tax liabilities.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
2:17:32 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Josephson was  confounded  by Mr.  Stickel's                                                                    
last  comment  because  the treasury  received  a  total  of                                                                    
$1.236  billon. He  thought it  would be  difficult to  make                                                                    
accurate  predictions for  future  years  assuming that  the                                                                    
carry-forward lease  expenditures could  be utilized  in the                                                                    
out years.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  responded  DOR maintained  a  company-specific                                                                    
modeling  of  production  tax liabilities  and  was  keeping                                                                    
track  of  which  companies were  earning  the  credits  and                                                                    
estimating  each  company's  production tax  liability.  The                                                                    
department  assumed that  the  companies  would utilize  the                                                                    
carry  forward  lease  expenditures to  the  maximum  extent                                                                    
possible. The uncertainty around  the lease expenditures had                                                                    
to  do  with the  possibility  that  the expenditures  could                                                                    
decrease in  value after eight  or ten  years if it  was not                                                                    
utilized.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
2:19:05 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel moved  to slide 17 which took  the same analysis                                                                    
that  had been  performed for  FY  24 and  projected it  out                                                                    
across  five  years  from  FY  21  through  FY  25.  It  was                                                                    
estimated that  production tax value ranged  from about $3.5                                                                    
billion  in FY  21  to  $8.8 billion  in  FY  22 and  slight                                                                    
decreases were predicted  year over year based  on the lower                                                                    
oil prices.  The net  tax paid to  the state  followed along                                                                    
with $389 million  of production tax in FY 21  and over $1.8                                                                    
billion in FY  22 and decreased to a projection  of a little                                                                    
over $1  billion in FY  25. There were  two new rows  at the                                                                    
bottom  of the  slide in  response  to the  feedback in  the                                                                    
prior  year's presentation.  The first  new addition  was an                                                                    
estimate of  the total ending  value of the  carried forward                                                                    
lease expenditures,  which were  expected to be  nearly $3.3                                                                    
billion at  the end of  FY 25. The lease  expenditures would                                                                    
be  available  to offset  future  taxes  for companies.  The                                                                    
second addition  was a calculated effective  tax rate, which                                                                    
depended upon  production tax value and  evaluated the total                                                                    
amount of tax  paid to the state as a  result of North Slope                                                                    
production tax value for oil.  The effective tax rate was 11                                                                    
percent in FY 21 and 20 percent in FY 22 and FY 23.                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Ortiz  asked  how Alaska's  oil  tax  regime                                                                    
compared to that of other states.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  responded he was  not prepared to speak  on the                                                                    
topic.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Ortiz   noted  the  overall   general  trend                                                                    
projecting a decrease  in revenue in future  years. He asked                                                                    
if the reduction  was entirely due to projected  price or if                                                                    
production had an impact as well.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel responded  that the  effective tax  rate was  a                                                                    
result of  price and  spending and  the production  had been                                                                    
fairly stable  overall. However, higher prices  would impact                                                                    
tax rates and lower lease expenditures.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Representative Hannan asked about  the carried forward lease                                                                    
expenditures  and net  lease expenditures  at the  bottom of                                                                    
slide 17.  She noted  that the carried  forward expenditures                                                                    
were  slightly more  than  the net  expenditures  in FY  21.                                                                    
However,  the   carried  forward  expenditures   had  nearly                                                                    
tripled by  FY 24 and had  increased fivefold by FY  25. She                                                                    
asked if it was due to  there being less development and why                                                                    
it was increasing at such a fast rate.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  responded  that   the  carried  forward  lease                                                                    
expenditures were  a fairly  new provision  of tax  law. The                                                                    
system  changed  from tax  credits  to  the carried  forward                                                                    
system,  which became  a deduction.  The chart  on slide  17                                                                    
indicated that  the net  lease expenditures  carried forward                                                                    
and represented the  net earned in a given  fiscal year. The                                                                    
total carried  forward lease expenditures line  on the chart                                                                    
referred  to a  cumulative calculation  and would  grow over                                                                    
time.  It  was  expected  that the  net  lease  expenditures                                                                    
earned in a given year would increase each year.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Representative Hannan asked  if there was a risk  to the new                                                                    
system.  She supposed  that if  all  expenditures were  paid                                                                    
off,  no  tax  would  be   earned  due  to  the  process  of                                                                    
compounding.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel responded  that the state would  still receive a                                                                    
tax. The carried forward lease  expenditures were limited to                                                                    
the  specific  company  and the  specific  development  that                                                                    
incurred the  lease expenditures. They were  also limited by                                                                    
the  minimum tax  floor. Companies  with sufficient  revenue                                                                    
could chose to reduce the  tax liability down to the minimum                                                                    
tax floor.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
2:25:50 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  moved to slide  18 which modeled a  scenario of                                                                    
there being only  a single taxpayer on the  North Slope. The                                                                    
scenario  assumed  that  there  was only  one  company  that                                                                    
operated all of the fields  and made all of the investments.                                                                    
The primary  difference with the  current forecast  was that                                                                    
there were  some small companies  that were not able  to use                                                                    
the  full $8  per  barrel  taxable credit.  If  there was  a                                                                    
single  producer, it  would be  expected  that the  producer                                                                    
would  use the  entire $8  per barrel  credit to  offset tax                                                                    
liability.  In  the  scenario,   the  total  production  tax                                                                    
deposited into  the treasury would  be about  $1.19 billion,                                                                    
as opposed  to $1.24  billion in  the official  forecast. It                                                                    
was a small difference given  the pricing expected in FY 24.                                                                    
The slide intended to highlight  the impact of the economics                                                                    
of individual companies on the tax  as well as the fact that                                                                    
each  company  had  its  own  portfolio  of  operations  and                                                                    
investments.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative Galvin commented that  she had read somewhere                                                                    
that  a  past governor  was  sorry  that they  had  included                                                                    
worldwide  investments in  the tax  structure as  opposed to                                                                    
just Alaska. She  was not familiar enough with  the topic to                                                                    
discern what that meant, but  she thought that Mr. Stickel's                                                                    
comments were related.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel responded  that there had been  some debate over                                                                    
corporate income  tax in  particular. The  current corporate                                                                    
income tax  structure involved taking a  company's worldwide                                                                    
income   and  apportioning   it   to   Alaska  rather   than                                                                    
calculating a separate income for corporate income tax.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Representative Josephson  stated he was struggling  with the                                                                    
hypothetical   scenarios  on   the  carried   forward  lease                                                                    
expenditures.  He  thought   there  would  be  circumstances                                                                    
dependent upon the  production tax value (PTV)  in which the                                                                    
state  might not  make  a  lot of  money  for the  treasury.                                                                    
However,  once  the  costs  had  been  sunk  and  paid  for,                                                                    
"everyone would  come out a  winner" in the  following year.                                                                    
He asked if he was understanding the concept correctly.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel responded in the  affirmative. The idea with the                                                                    
carried  forward lease  expenditures was  to give  companies                                                                    
the  opportunity to  deduct lease  expenditures against  tax                                                                    
calculations.   Incumbent   producers   could   deduct   the                                                                    
expenditures  in   the  year  that  the   expenditures  were                                                                    
incurred, and  new producers  could deduct  the expenditures                                                                    
in a future year.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
2:30:36 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  continued  on  slide   19,  which  showed  how                                                                    
petroleum revenues  varied by land type.  The concept behind                                                                    
the slide was  that not all oil was equal  and the amount of                                                                    
revenue the state  would receive from oil  depended on where                                                                    
the  oil  originated.  There  currently  was  no  production                                                                    
beyond six  miles offshore  of state  land. The  state would                                                                    
not   receive   any   revenue  from   intercontinental   oil                                                                    
production; however, it could  receive economic benefits and                                                                    
it could  have a  positive impact on  the tariff.  The state                                                                    
would  not apply  taxes  to production  three  to six  miles                                                                    
offshore, but the state would  receive a 27 percent share of                                                                    
federal  royalties. There  was currently  a small  amount of                                                                    
production that  fell into the  three to six  mile category.                                                                    
Within the  three mile limit,  property tax,  corporate tax,                                                                    
and  production   tax  was  applied  the   same  across  all                                                                    
developments.  State royalty  applied to  any production  on                                                                    
state land. Any  production within the NPR-A  was on federal                                                                    
land and  50 percent  of royalties were  shared back  to the                                                                    
state, but  the proceeds  were required to  be used  for the                                                                    
benefit of  local communities. Additionally,  any production                                                                    
within the  Alaska National Wildlife Refuge  (ANWR) was also                                                                    
on  federal  land,  but  the state  received  a  50  percent                                                                    
royalty  with  no  restrictions. Other  federal  land  would                                                                    
receive a 90 percent share  back. Production on private land                                                                    
was  primarily owned  by Native  corporations and  a private                                                                    
royalty  applied on  the land  in  addition to  a 5  percent                                                                    
gross tax as part of the production tax.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Hannan understood  that  the expectation  of                                                                    
the amount  that the state  general fund would  receive from                                                                    
the Willow project was limited. She asked if it was zero.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel responded  that the  revenue  impact of  Willow                                                                    
would be  non-zero as production tax,  corporate income tax,                                                                    
and  property tax  would all  apply. Significant  production                                                                    
from Willow would also reduce pipeline tariffs.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
2:35:03 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  continued on  slide 20  and briefly  touched on                                                                    
the GVR. He explained that  the GVR was an incentive program                                                                    
for new  oil fields that  was part of  the SB 21  tax reform                                                                    
enacted in 2013. It was  available for the first seven years                                                                    
of  production  and  ended  early   if  North  Slope  prices                                                                    
averaged over  $70 per barrel  for any three years.  It also                                                                    
allowed companies  to exclude  20 percent  or 30  percent of                                                                    
the gross value from the net production tax calculation.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel moved  to slide  21, which  was a  repeat of  a                                                                    
chart  from a  previous presentation.  The chart  showed how                                                                    
unrestricted revenue  for FY 24 would  change with different                                                                    
oil prices. He relayed that  each dollar change in oil price                                                                    
equated to  about a $70  million change in UGF  revenue. The                                                                    
production tax  was progressive in  that once the  oil price                                                                    
exceeded $90  per barrel, the per  barrel revenue increased.                                                                    
Similarly,  once  prices  sunk  below $70  per  barrel,  the                                                                    
companies started  paying below the  tax floor at a  cost of                                                                    
between $50 and $70 per barrel.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel advanced to slide  22, which put the information                                                                    
on  slide  21  in  table  form. The  table  was  taken  from                                                                    
Appendix A from DOR's Revenue Sources Book.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  continued  to  slide 23  which  was  added  in                                                                    
response to a  question from the Senate.  The slide included                                                                    
a  chart comparing  the effective  tax  rate at  a range  of                                                                    
prices  for FY  24  to  the statutory  net  tax  rate of  35                                                                    
percent.  The  lowest effective  tax  rate  was observed  at                                                                    
about $52 per barrel, which  was a 9.8 percent effective tax                                                                    
rate. Once the  price exceeded $52 per barrel,  the tax levy                                                                    
increased with the  net profits tax. When  prices were below                                                                    
the $52  threshold, the increase  also occurred  because the                                                                    
tax  was governed  by  the gross  minimum  tax floor,  which                                                                    
meant that  a company's profits were  decreasing faster than                                                                    
the gross value. He concluded his presentation.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Representative Cronk  asked how  much of  the transportation                                                                    
costs were the Trans Alaska Pipeline System (TAPS).                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Mr.   Stickel   responded  it   was   about   half  of   the                                                                    
transportation costs.  For FY 24, transportation  costs were                                                                    
forecasted to  be about $9.37  per barrel with $4.88  of the                                                                    
cost being the estimated TAPS portion.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Cronk  asked  if  the  transportation  costs                                                                    
would drop if the new oil fields were online.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel responded  that the  costs could  be stable  or                                                                    
potentially decrease. The  department was forecasting fairly                                                                    
stable  transportation   costs  due  to   expected  moderate                                                                    
increases in production.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
2:40:43 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative Stapp asked for more  detail about the use of                                                                    
the 50 percent royalty share from NPRA.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel responded  that there  was a  provision by  the                                                                    
federal government that required that  the money be used for                                                                    
programs  and  communities that  were  impacted  by the  oil                                                                    
development. He  understood that  there was a  grant program                                                                    
that the state used to distribute the funds.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Stapp understood  that  the  funds would  be                                                                    
going  directly to  people like  those who  had visited  his                                                                    
office  recently  and  spoke  about  the  impacts  that  oil                                                                    
production  had on  their communities.  He asked  if he  was                                                                    
correct.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  responded  that  it  would  be  going  to  the                                                                    
impacted communities.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Tomaszewski asked  about  the disclaimer  on                                                                    
slide 4 and read from it:                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     Alaska's severance  tax is one  of the most  complex in                                                                    
     the world  and portions  are subject  to interpretation                                                                    
     and dispute.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Representative Tomaszewski asked if  the oil companies liked                                                                    
the tax regime in the state.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  responded that he  would defer the  question to                                                                    
the oil  companies. He added  that multiple  consultants had                                                                    
reported  that  Alaska  had  one of  the  most  complex  tax                                                                    
systems  in the  world  and the  uncertainties could  create                                                                    
difficulties.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Tomaszewski  asked  if  the  state  and  the                                                                    
department liked the tax regime.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel  responded he would  defer the question  as well                                                                    
since it was policy related.  From a personal standpoint, he                                                                    
acknowledged   that  the   regime   could   be  tricky   and                                                                    
complicated.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative Hannan  asked if the tax  was complicated due                                                                    
to  the   regulations  surrounding  surface   ownership  and                                                                    
subsurface  ownership.  In  most  other  jurisdictions,  the                                                                    
ownership was  unified, but  Alaska reserved  the subsurface                                                                    
rights.  An additional  hurdle was  the  great distance  oil                                                                    
needed to travel across the state.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Stickel responded that it  was definitely a contributing                                                                    
factor. An  additional factor was  that there had  been many                                                                    
changes  throughout  the  years which  had  complicated  the                                                                    
process.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Representative Cronk  commented that he related  the oil tax                                                                    
regime to the  Base Student Allocation (BSA)  because no one                                                                    
could explain how it worked.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
2:45:22 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Tomaszewski  asked   if  the  forward  lease                                                                    
expenditures were specific  to a particular lease  of if the                                                                    
expenditures could be used on other leases.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel  responded  that   the  carried  forward  lease                                                                    
expenditures were  tied to  a specific  lease and  a company                                                                    
needed  to bring  the lease  into production  and apply  the                                                                    
lease expenditures in its tax calculation.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Tomaszewski asked  if  there was  a time  or                                                                    
value cap.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel responded  that eight  or ten  years after  the                                                                    
lease expenditures were earned,  they started to decrease in                                                                    
value if  they had  not been  used. There  was not  a dollar                                                                    
amount limit to how much a  company could invest to earn the                                                                    
lease expenditures.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Josephson asked  if it  was true  that using                                                                    
the carried  forward lease  expenditures was  not prohibited                                                                    
for a taxpayer like Conoco.  He understood that Conoco could                                                                    
use the expenditures when in profit near Prudhoe Bay or not                                                                     
in profit in another field.  He thought whether or not they                                                                     
were in profit was a North Slope question.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Stickel responded  that if  an  existing producer  like                                                                    
Conoco had  sufficient gross revenue and  made an investment                                                                    
in  a  new field,  it  would  be  able  to apply  the  lease                                                                    
expenditures in the year in which the investment was made.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Johnson reviewed the following day's agenda.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
2:48:33 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
ADJOURNMENT                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
The meeting was adjourned at 2:48 p.m.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                

Document Name Date/Time Subjects
Order of Operations HFIN 2023.02.09.pdf HFIN 2/9/2023 1:30:00 PM
DOR - HFIN
DOR Response to HFIN Order of Ops 2023.02.09.pdf HFIN 2/9/2023 1:30:00 PM